By 2050, cardiovascular mortality may rise by 73% — Densaulyk

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By 2050, cardiovascular mortality may rise by 73%

7 Nov 2025

According to projections from an international research group, by 2050 the number of deaths from cardiovascular diseases (CVD) will increase by 73%, reaching 36 million cases — 16 million more than in 2025. Researchers attribute this rise primarily to global population aging, despite major progress in treatment and prevention.

According to the World Health Organization (WHO), in 2022 cardiovascular diseases claimed 19.8 million lives, accounting for 32% of all global deaths.

In addition, the overall CVD burden — measured in disability-adjusted life years (DALY) — is expected to grow by 55%. Chronic heart failure remains one of the leading causes of death, particularly among people with type 2 diabetes.

Experts highlight key risk factors, including kidney dysfunction and smoking. Non-pharmacological strategies play a vital role in prevention: healthy diet, reduced salt intake, quitting tobacco, and regular physical activity. These habits, specialists note, can significantly lower the risk of cardiovascular complications.

In Kazakhstan, from 2013 to 2020, overall morbidity from circulatory system diseases increased by 40%, and primary incidence by 32%. At the same time, the standardized mortality rate dropped by about 37%, reflecting the positive impact of prevention programs and the development of cardiology centers.



Researchers emphasize that despite improved access to medical care, demographic shifts demand stronger prevention and early detection programs.

“The rise in cardiovascular mortality is an alarming signal for physicians and society. Taking care of the heart must begin early in life: weight control, quitting tobacco, staying physically active, undergoing regular check-ups, and paying attention to kidney health. Only a comprehensive approach and personal responsibility for health can prevent millions of premature deaths in the coming decades,” noted Gintautas-Juozas Kentra, physician, Deputy Chair of the National Association Densaulyq and harm reduction expert.

Experts agree that a combination of medical, educational, and social measures will not only slow mortality growth but also preserve quality of life for millions of people.